READ INTO THE FUTURE: Will you be teaching online in 2020?

 

Predicting the future has always been a tricky one…

French postcard from 1910 predicting the year 2000

 

Last week the post on the future of the teaching profession generated some great discussion.

I’ve continued reading up on the topic and saw an interesting research article done with online teachers regarding their opinions on the future of the industry.  The article was published in 2006, but, the best part was that they were making predictions for this next year… ie 2013… ie “were they right!?!”

Those surveyed predicted a distinct shift from about one-quarter of classes being blended today to perhaps the vast majority of courses having some Web component by the end of the decade (and by 2013 20% of the teachers predicted 81-100% of learning would be online).

Now, I know that some of the readers of this blog don’t currently do extensive teaching online; actually only 5% said they did mostly all teaching online on this survey back in March:

And yet I have a feeling that even those who are not 100% online with their students, do make use of quite a bit of online materials, be it synchronously or asynchronously.

So, I’m asking you to predict THE future and YOUR future in the survey below!!!!

(in case you can’t see the google form below, please click here)

 


 

Thanks and I’ll keep you posted! -Brad

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About Brad

--- i'm a learner-teacher, language geek, outdoorsy kind-of-guy --- U might miss the next tweet... Wanna subscribe by email ? ;-)
 
  • http://twitter.com/Mtranslator Marisa Pavan

    Great post for reflection as to what the future holds!
    Hugs!
    Marisa

  • http://nagora-e-learning.blogspot.com/ nagora

    Good question, Brad. Thank you.

  • http://nihalyildirim.wordpress.com/ Nihal YILDIRIM

    Can’t wait to re-visit this post in 2020 :)
    Nice one Brad, as usual.

  • http://blog.edulang.com/ Brad Patterson

    I agree ;-)  Looking forward to the results!

  • http://blog.edulang.com/ Brad Patterson

    Haha.  My thoughts exactly!  Thanks Nihal.

  • http://blog.edulang.com/ Brad Patterson

    ;-) Always a pleasure, Nina!

  • http://dougpete.wordpress.com/2012/06/02/otr-links-06022012/ OTR Links 06/02/2012 | doug – off the record

    [...] READ INTO THE FUTURE: Will you be teaching online in 2020? | A journée in language. [...]

  • http://twitter.com/seburnt Tyson Seburn

    I think perhaps 48.7%, but never 50%.  That’s just insanity.

  • http://blog.edulang.com/ Brad Patterson

    i agree almost 99.7% with you… and for what it’s worth…

    http://www.etymonline.com/index.php?term=insanity
    ;-)

  • Sylvie_guinan

    Feeling a bit like a virtual Miss 2020 & having done the survey here are some observances from my experience.
    I am fully online because it suits my lifestyle, small children and living on a remote island. But that would not be enough motivation by itself. The possibilities inherent in educational technology are exciting and liberating.

    I’ve been involved in similar discussions about online education in the last few days. Some say that students are slow to catch onto skype, let alone virtual classrooms. Yet, I have students online because they have no native speakers where they live.

    Maybe it’s misleading to say everyone must switch to online or make fancy predictions. I think that online is for students who need native speakers, who can’t afford extremely expensive schools, who don’t feel comfortable in unsuitable classroom set ups, who want private or especially tailored tuition, and who want to choose amongst global teachers, and experience the best in education and technology.
    So, those in places like China, or remote third world countries etc., I feel, are the ones who will be empowered and educated, which could balance out inequalities a bit.Also business men like online learning as it is flexible.
    As for children, blended learning is perfect. I would not like my kids to get more than 50% of education online, as they need physical environments and socialisng, but all schools should make sure teachers have training in how to use their computer labs for creative project work etc. Many schools in Europe have computer labs going to waste for lack of ideas or experimentation
    .Also, let me add that I am using edulang technology and am planning to use it for group projects and courses online.

  • http://blog.edulang.com/ Brad Patterson

    Hi Sylvia,

    Virtual Miss 2020 ;-) Nice to hear your thoughts in a more detailed manner, and I agree that online learning definitely has a nice range of folks that it will serve better. With that in mind, the survey has been insightful and I’ll share the results tomorrow. Really glad to have you using Edulang’s applications with your groups and can’t wait to hear more!
    Cheers, Brad

  • http://www.edulang.com/blog/2020-online-teaching-survey-results/ 2020: The Future Teacher Survey Results | A journée in language.

    [...] you, thank you, thank you for taking the survey I pulled together last week as theresults have been quite insightful!  Here are responses from 66 [...]

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  • Phil Wade

    Don’t you just love how the French still believed they’d have the same old French buildings and balconies in 2000, a steam train too? The only thing that’s different is flying firemen.

  • http://blog.edulang.com/ Brad Patterson

    you’ll love these then:  http://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?search=france+XXI&title=Special%3ASearch

    there are the same for germany, russia, usa… fun postcards and all futuristic in funny ways.

    -b

  • http://twitter.com/eyespeakbrasil Speak IT English

    Hi Brad,

    The motivating factor for businesses is to reduce the cost of instruction – hence the shift to online learning. Ask HSBC or Shell. They´ve recently moved 95% of their employees to online solutions and shut the doors to in-company teachers. From my experience here in Brazil, it´s the businesses who are driving the change and the teachers and schools are being forced to follow suit.  A multinational considers one thing only - the bottom line. If they can improve the bottom line of their business by reducing costs, they will. The financial crisis only increases the need, hence the shift will become more rapid. Traditional schools should be seeking a strategy to combat this shift now. Waiting isn´t  an option. The only encumbrance I can see is broadband speed and accessibility but this is clearly being overcome as we can see through the rapid uptake of smartphones, apps etc.  I know a 5 year old who is learning English independently via gaming on a smartphone - he  isn´t taught English at school. Lastly Brad, what are the demographics of those completing your survey? I suspect they´re teachers working in schools  - or in other words,  the people who are showing the greatest resistance because they have the most to lose.

    Best,
    Robert 

  • http://blog.edulang.com/ Brad Patterson

    Hi Robert, 

    Thanks for sharing your thoughts.  I’ve enjoyed catching your tweets over the last year and it’s great to have you come visit the blog.

    The demographics of the survey are a bit up in the air, but in general they are folks in my PLN, which spread fairly widely across the board.  I put the “demographics” or professional environment of teachers who responded to a previous survey just to provide a background showing that yes, many of the teachers reading the blog are from a more traditional, and even private school orientation.

    Whereas some large groups might be moving towards elearning, I think the transition is probably a bit less abrupt and far-reaching.  Plus, even if many corporate structures are investing more in asynchronous learning via the internet, I know they’re still bringing in ELT professionals to support that, to “coach” and to help fill in the holes in spoken English, confidence and other angles that are hard to master via elearning.

    I explored the question a bit in this post and enjoyed hearing what the blog’s readers had to say too.  Thanks again for your thoughts! 

    http://www.edulang.com/blog/teachers-disappearing/

    Cheers, Brad